Coalition formation in Portland’s first STV election
I have a new report with Kevin Kosar and Jaehun Lee, jointly published by the American Enterprise Institute and Manhattan Institute:
Read more…Portland, Oregon, first used its new proportional ranked-choice voting electoral system to elect city council members in November 2024.
A variety of groups endorsed candidates in this nonpartisan election.
Analyses of these groups’ endorsements point to the emergence of four political blocs: national progressivism, pro-business pragmatism, local progressivism, and laborism.
It is not yet clear what style of politics will emerge in future elections. Possibilities include local multi-partism, local bi-partism based on coalition parties, and continued fluidity, including within the blocs themselves.
Portland’s urban politics may prove unstable and feature shifting alliances among these groups in the run-up to subsequent elections.